International Food Security Assessment, 2023–2033

by Yacob Abrehe Zereyesus, Lila Cardell, Kayode Ajewole, Jarrad Farris, Michael E. Johnson, Jennifer Kee, Constanza Valdes, and Wendy Zeng

Food security is estimated to improve in 2023 in the 83 low- and middle-income countries examined by USDA’s Economic Research Service in the International Food Security Assessment. Due to growth in per capita income and the easing of international and domestic food commodity prices, 228.9 million fewer people will face food insecurity relative to 2022. However, estimated food insecurity remains elevated due to the lingering effects of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, high food commodity prices, and risks associated with the ongoing Russian military invasion of Ukraine. Despite challenges in the near-term outlook, food security is projected to improve in the next 10 years. By 2033, the number of food insecure people in the 83 IFSA countries is projected to be 385.9 million, 66.1 percent less than the number of people than in 2023.

How to Cite:

Zereyesus, Y.A., Cardell, L., Ajewole, K., Farris, J., Johnson, M.E., Kee, J., Valdes, C., & Zeng, W. (2023). International food security assessment, 2023-2033 (Report No. GFA-34). U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service. https://dx.doi.org/10.32747/2023.8134166.ers

Keywords: Calories, Coronavirus, COVID-19, pandemic, food demand, food insecurity, food prices, income, inflation, caloric threshold, Ukraine, Sub-Saharan Africa, Middle East and North Africa, Former Soviet Union, Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean

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